Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Sept 2026, 03:08 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

SalsaTekila

@SalsaTekila

In reply to · 2 Sept 2026, 03:04 UTC · context given to the AI

one day into september and i'm already watching new zealand rates ffs

@bitbitcrypto Just buy any good coin and dont buy eth

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,413 at 2 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,402 at 3 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC.
r = 2402.39 / 2413.19 − 1 = -0.4%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time