Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.01517 at 2 Sept 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.01342 at 3 Sept 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.013421094785329275 / 0.015169267053592214 − 1 = -11.5%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -11.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology