Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 1 Sept 2026, 18:08 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

In reply to · 1 Sept 2026, 14:01 UTC · context given to the AI

$ETH 4H rounding top look https://t.co/v9ayOTwkTt

Also notably a falling channel has begun with LH and LL

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,412 at 1 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,394 at 2 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 2393.91 / 2412.25 − 1 = -0.8%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time