Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.01874 at 31 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.01598 at 1 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.015976248553757882 / 0.018741060067784154 − 1 = -14.8%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -14.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology