Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @travladd / 2094407700339892526:memecoin:$CATE

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 31 Aug 2026, 12:51 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

tr

Travladd 𐤊

@travladd

This is who you’re selling your $CATE to. There hasn’t been a more obvious billion dollar runner since $SHIB btw. I don’t care where the bottom is, if the bottom already hit, the stats don’t lie. Holders📈 https://t.co/pxmrw7zskg

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $CATE price at or after publication, $0.04125 at 31 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.03415 at 1 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 0.034154528366834434 / 0.041250213271410194 − 1 = -17.20%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -17.20% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $CATE ($CATE)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “This is who you’re selling your $CATE to.”
Confidence: 91%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$0.04125

Evaluation price

$0.03415

Move

-17.20%

Neutral threshold

±5.00%

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction