Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,000 at 31 Aug 2026, 06:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,149 at 1 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTC.
3. r = 79148.96 / 78000.25 − 1 = +1.47%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.47% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology