Published 30 Aug 2026, 20:01 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC
Daan Crypto Trades
@DaanCrypto
Quoting · 12 Jul 2026, 13:01 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC 2-Year MA Multiplier is signaling that Bitcoin is in its value area. All this does is see if Bitcoin trades below its 2 year moving average. Everything underneath, marked in green, is usually considered good long term value. It marked the bottom in every cycle so far, but as you can see with a big note. Last cycle it traded down there for almost 1.5 years and extended up to -30% deeper. So take it with a big grain of salt. But we can all agree that these valuations make more sense than if price were to be trading near its 2 year moving average x5 (red line) which has roughly marked the top in every cycle except the last one.bitcoin:native's 2-Year MA Multiplier is still in the "value area" but only barely. Generally, Bitcoin spends a few months down there and then proceeds to enter a new bull market when it breaks back above its 2 Year MA. https://t.co/qvT6a71034 https://t.co/VwzlMLj6wwView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 78842.69 / 78582.31 − 1 = +0.3%d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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