Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,028 at 30 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $78,422 at 30 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC.
3. r = 78422.45 / 79028.06 − 1 = -0.8%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology