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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Aug 2026, 16:41 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Byzantine General

@ByzGeneral

$CASHCAT looks ready to go for it again. Are you guys gonna keep seething or actually make some money? https://t.co/GyWnPzAUJD

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $CASHCAT price at or after publication, $0.2395 at 30 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.2074 at 31 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 0.207384432294567 / 0.239549920121301 − 1 = -13.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -13.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time