Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,336 at 30 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,612 at 31 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 78612.05 / 79336.13 − 1 = -0.9%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology