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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is holding above the $2,450 level. Any 15%-20% dip in Ethereum will be for buying, as the bottom is most likely in. https://t.co/ds8psBdjU7

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,453 at 30 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,447 at 31 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2446.64 / 2453.13 − 1 = -0.3%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time