Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Aug 2026, 19:43 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC

Samson Mow

@Excellion

In reply to · 29 Aug 2026, 16:57 UTC · context given to the AI

@Excellion has to be the most bullish guy in Bitcoin. Do you agree? I need names if you think I’m I wrong? https://t.co/nixkcBUil8

@bitcoin_dawg How can anyone not be bullish on Bitcoin?!

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,194 at 29 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,854 at 30 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 78854.14 / 78193.6 − 1 = +0.84%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.84% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time