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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 29 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

ETHEREUM HAS LAUNCHED FROM $1,500 EVERY TIME SINCE 2021. 2022 bottom: +229.71%. 2023 bottom: +44.13%. 2024 bottom: +176.52%. 2025 bottom: +236.70%. 2026 bottom: measured target +283.64%. Above $5,600. The 2017 ATH became the launchpad. It has never failed. https://t.co/zMXgXYbqMV

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,445 at 29 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,481 at 30 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 2481.05 / 2444.79 − 1 = +1.5%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “ETHEREUM HAS LAUNCHED FROM $1,500 EVERY TIME SINCE 2021.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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