Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @CryptoWendyO / 2093484895482085613:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 Aug 2026, 23:44 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC

Cr

Wendy O

@CryptoWendyO

Excited to announce I don’t care that Bitcoin and Crypto dipped and we are going so much HIGHER https://t.co/ygF300MYvG

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,839 at 29 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,234 at 30 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 78233.92 / 77839.19 − 1 = +0.51%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.51% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Excited to announce I don’t care that Bitcoin and Crypto dipped and we are going so much HIGHER https://t.co/ygF300MYvG”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

neutral

Baseline price

$77,839

Evaluation price

$78,234

Move

+0.51%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction