Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,324 at 28 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,856 at 29 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 77855.57 / 78324.22 − 1 = -0.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology