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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 Aug 2026, 12:31 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

George

@George1Trader

#btc Careful with longs here, no follow through and highs swept, lows could be next. Still looking for longs lower down tho. https://t.co/aS0ZFCM2zn

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,409 at 28 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,585 at 29 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 77584.62 / 79408.95 − 1 = -2.3%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#btc Careful with longs here, no follow through and highs swept, lows could be next.”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3