Published 28 Aug 2026, 10:40 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC
swarmik
@swarmister
Quoting · 28 Aug 2026, 09:24 UTC · context given to the AI
yeah probably gonna be the last decent short for a while ive never been more bullish in years but i feel like we have to go through this one first indeed not getting cute beyond hedging some of my spot exposure and tuning down risk on shitters a little. protect some good gains for a few days added my squiggles to it. forgot to update the vol profiles cant be bothered to fix it now lowest low around/wick below 2026 vah just around the volume gap from 74.5k makes sense. its the highest tension point where people start thinking this rally was fake and timeline panics. as ppl assume a consolidation range, they view the 2026 vah as lowest support before calling a trend breakdown. market auctioning and finding equilibrium in a range above the bear market year value area is a pre-requisite for a breakout above the HTF trendline to confirm transition from bear to bull market on TA. so we go a little below that line to scare the hoes. oh no its not range, its a breakdown, the pump was fake, we will retrace it all, etc. shorts pile in and then dump stalls. the 30d rvwap has caught up in the meantime. spot bids, price reverses back up. this time around we break 365d rvwap and rally straight to 100k. a new bull market has begunIn reply to · 28 Aug 2026, 08:58 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC 4H, a more localized view, short setup. The initial conditions for a reversal and the emergence of a downward Order Flow are forming. A test of the marked POI will be used to consider opening a short position. Targets are marked on the chart. https://t.co/r6g8nPVXDj https://t.co/PKzM2rO4KeMarmot added to my analysis, and I fully agree with his thoughts Check this out, too https://t.co/E0RUgpEiiIView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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