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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 28 Aug 2026, 09:12 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

THE BITCOIN THREE DRIVES PATTERN IS YOUR SECOND CHANCE AT $72,000. Drive 1, Drive 2, Drive 3. All at the May 2026 monthly high. All on weakening momentum. Harmonic pattern says: pullback to $72,250-$73,800, then new highs. If you missed the bottom, this is your re-entry. https://t.co/927ONsjYt2

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,293 at 28 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,642 at 29 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 77642.41 / 79293 − 1 = -2.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “THE BITCOIN THREE DRIVES PATTERN IS YOUR SECOND CHANCE AT $72,000.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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