Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,210 at 27 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,365 at 28 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 77365.49 / 80210.39 − 1 = -3.5%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology