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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 27 Aug 2026, 13:19 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

In reply to · 27 Aug 2026, 12:37 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC Coinbase has a 945 BTC sell wall sitting at $81K. That's an unusually large amount for Coinbase orderbook. https://t.co/DBeVUh1B3S

@exitpumpBTC Bullish

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,533 at 27 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,349 at 28 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 79349.25 / 79533.01 − 1 = -0.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time