Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,686 at 27 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,600 at 28 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 80599.83 / 78685.86 − 1 = +2.43%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.43% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology