Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,492 at 27 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,516 at 28 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 2516.43 / 2491.9 − 1 = +1.0%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology