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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Aug 2026, 18:11 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

Don’t Follow Shardi B If You Hate Money

@ShardiB2

I know I showed you the weekly earlier, but the 4hr looks like it's consolidating nicely and getting ready for a move higher $ETH https://t.co/CnOnyQjrFe

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,473 at 26 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,507 at 27 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 2507.24 / 2473.1 − 1 = +1.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH https://t.co/CnOnyQjrFe”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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