Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,987 at 26 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,385 at 27 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 80384.78 / 77986.94 − 1 = +3.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -3.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology