Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,237 at 25 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,446 at 26 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 78446.15 / 79237 − 1 = -1.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology