Published 25 Aug 2026, 08:06 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC
Krzysztof #BTC
@Krzyszt40559764
In reply to · 25 Aug 2026, 07:19 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC Almost there! 👀 Historically, making a higher high above the previous 3-month candle has sealed the deal. These reversal candles have also historically been huge, often 70%+ moves, and that's precisely the point. They're designed to catch people off guard and surprise. We've now had yet another strong reaction from the HTF support band that has marked the region of every previous bear market low. This is also why I consistently pushed back against the lower targets. Not because I thought they were impossible, but because I could see the danger in what those targets implied. No bull should want to see a long-held macro support structure lost. I've always made it clear that had price fallen that far, I wouldn't automatically have been a buyer either. Instead, the support band offered a clearly defined area to speculate from with excellent macro R:R. And once again, it has produced a significant reaction. We're now within touching distance of the confirmation I've been waiting for. Almost there.@GeoMetric_9 100k incomingView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 78696.38 / 79905.81 − 1 = -1.5%d × r = -1.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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