Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,970 at 24 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,551 at 25 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 78550.55 / 78970.31 − 1 = -0.53%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.53% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology