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Leaderboard / @BigCheds / 2091876961299697728:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 24 Aug 2026, 13:15 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

Bi

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

$BTC high and tight daily flag - trying for a breakout https://t.co/jdZGhWq4a3

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,562 at 24 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,633 at 25 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 78633.34 / 78562.4 − 1 = +0.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC high and tight daily flag - trying for a breakout https://t.co/jdZGhWq4a3”
Confidence: 92%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$78,562

Evaluation price

$78,633

Move

+0.1%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 16:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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