Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,541 at 24 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $78,562 at 24 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 78562.4 / 77540.78 − 1 = +1.32%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.32% against a neutral band of ±0.41% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology