Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $CATE price at or after publication, $0.03485 at 24 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $0.0352 at 24 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.03520206019157517 / 0.03485158768211056 − 1 = +1.01%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.01% against a neutral band of ±2.04% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology