Published 23 Aug 2026, 16:01 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC
CryptoBusy
@CryptoBusy
Quoting · 23 Aug 2026, 15:25 UTC · context given to the AI
Key Things to Watch This Week 🚨 Markets enter the final week of August with momentum back in crypto, but the next move will likely depend on macro. 1. Core PCE, Wednesday The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge is the biggest data risk this week. Softer inflation could support risk assets. A hotter print could push yields higher and pressure equities and crypto. 2. Nvidia Earnings, Wednesday @nvidia will test whether the AI trade still has momentum. A strong report could support tech and broader risk sentiment. A miss could trigger another round of de-risking. 3. Jackson Hole, Thursday to Saturday Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks Friday. Markets will focus on inflation, growth and the September rate outlook. Any hawkish surprise could bring volatility back quickly. 4. Treasury Yields and Oil Long-term yields remain elevated, while oil is still sensitive to geopolitical tensions. Both can tighten financial conditions and weigh on risk assets. 5. bitcoin:native After the Breakout BTC is coming off one of its strongest weeks in years after pushing toward $80K. The key question now is whether ETF demand and spot buying remain strong after the short squeeze fades. 6. ETF Flows and Leverage Continued inflows would support the rally. But after such a fast move, elevated leverage also increases the risk of sharp pullbacks. Bottom Line: The market is bullish, but this week is packed with catalysts.WHAT TO EXPECT THIS WEEK: bitcoin:native broke a downtrend that lasted more than a year. That matters more than the move to $77K itself. After months of lower highs and repeated rejection, BTC has finally pushed through the trendline that controlled price since the 2025 peak. Now the key is whether bitcoin:native can hold the breakout and turn the $70K–$72K area into support. If it does, this stops looking like a short-term pump and starts looking like a major trend reversal. A one-year structure doesn't break every day. Pay attention.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 79336.13 / 77405.67 − 1 = +2.49%d × r = +2.49% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → neutralOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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