Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,133 at 23 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,081 at 24 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 79080.75 / 77133.44 − 1 = +2.5%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology