Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,202 at 23 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $78,777 at 30 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 78777.17 / 77201.58 − 1 = +2.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology