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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Aug 2026, 10:50 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Miles Deutscher

@milesdeutscher

Btw eventually $BTC goes to 500k. Who cares about whether it's 40k, 50k, 70k, 80k. It's all child's play. Just stack and be smart about it.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,777 at 23 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,609 at 24 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 77608.86 / 76776.94 − 1 = +1.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time