Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Aug 2026, 09:09 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC has one small liquidity cluster around the $75,400 level. After this, there are big liquidity clusters around $78,000-$80,000. So, Bitcoin could have a small retrace before pumping back to $80,000. https://t.co/VmH4xBe0hh

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,540 at 23 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,541 at 24 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 77540.78 / 76540 − 1 = +1.3%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC has one small liquidity cluster around the $75,400 level.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction