Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 Aug 2026, 18:55 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 22 Aug 2026, 12:02 UTC · context given to the AI

Looks like many of these altcoins have topped off for at least a few days FYI

$SOL 4H for example. There is no way this high volume high wave outside bar does not mark a short term top. https://t.co/Ph94cAAdwH https://t.co/f843jeXQV9

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $94.44 at 22 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $93.62 at 22 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC.
r = 93.62 / 94.44 − 1 = -0.9%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Solana (SOL)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 4 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$SOL 4H for example.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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