Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,934 at 22 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,287 at 23 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 77287.44 / 77934.35 − 1 = -0.83%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.83% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology