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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Aug 2026, 22:11 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

Don’t Follow Shardi B If You Hate Money

@ShardiB2

I guess weekends are made for $ETH again Broke 200 week now touching 100 week then nothing above https://t.co/VaAUuB9q89

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,522 at 21 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,414 at 22 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC.
r = 2413.8 / 2521.54 − 1 = -4.3%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +4.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time