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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Aug 2026, 19:56 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Nebraskangooner

@Nebraskangooner

$PUMP Looking a little over extended.. can't guarantee a drop here but could be due for a small red day. https://t.co/EL7zULDFIl

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $PUMP price at or after publication, $0.003885 at 21 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.0049 at 22 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 0.004900365849408336 / 0.0038845894182051085 − 1 = +26.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -26.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time