Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Aug 2026, 12:59 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

Quoting · 21 Aug 2026, 12:49 UTC · context given to the AI

@AltcoinSherpa Wasn't a proper dip after taking off last bull run tbh :)

The last bull market start in 2023 had nearly a month of huge bull moves before the first 10% pullback on Bitcoin. I'm not saying this is the omega bottom but if it is, you don't want to be sidelined for that long. IMO it's still a decent environment where you can top blast https://t.co/E2KldKSzEd https://t.co/A3AsR0hPr0

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,200 at 21 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,300 at 22 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 77300.01 / 77200 − 1 = +0.13%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.13% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “The last bull market start in 2023 had nearly a month of huge bull moves before the first 10% pullback on Bitcoin.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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