Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,888 at 21 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,049 at 22 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 77049.4 / 77888.18 − 1 = -1.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology