Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,287 at 21 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,289 at 22 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 77288.55 / 76287.21 − 1 = +1.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology