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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2090497128334250320:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 Aug 2026, 17:52 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

$BTC / $USD - Update $74,500 is the next resistance zone while we are over $72,500 support zone now. https://t.co/WBsw3NV8MF

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $72,715 at 20 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,376 at 21 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 77376.05 / 72715.34 − 1 = +6.41%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +6.41% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC / $USD - Update”
Confidence: 92%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$72,715

Evaluation price

$77,376

Move

+6.41%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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