Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $71,781 at 20 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 1 hour horizon, $72,429 at 20 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 72429.27 / 71781 − 1 = +0.9%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology