Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 Aug 2026, 11:50 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 17 Aug 2026, 16:34 UTC · context given to the AI

$PUMP continued relative strength and push towards broader range peak https://t.co/be7bEgJYv3 https://t.co/Uel2twlRVv

$PUMP clearing some lower highs and trying to flip lost support - continued strength https://t.co/SuJ0UJj4yH https://t.co/whcUgtjpXl

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $PUMP price at or after publication, $0.003434 at 20 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.004053 at 21 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC.
r = 0.004052671516622406 / 0.003433784326140818 − 1 = +18.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +18.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $PUMP ($PUMP)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$PUMP clearing some lower highs and trying to flip lost support - continued strength https://t.co/SuJ0UJj4yH https://t.co/whcUgtjpXl”
Confidence: 87%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3