Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 Aug 2026, 11:46 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

That Martini Guy ₿

@MartiniGuyYT

In reply to · 20 Aug 2026, 11:24 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin is up +$10,000 since Jim Cramer said he is selling all his BTC. https://t.co/OP4j4vkRt9

@AshCrypto Inverse Cramer effect is real The best indicator going 🚀

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $71,871 at 20 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,710 at 21 Aug 2026, 12:00 UTC.
r = 76709.63 / 71870.67 − 1 = +6.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +6.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@AshCrypto Inverse Cramer effect is real The best indicator going 🚀”
Confidence: 89%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3