Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,285 at 19 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,318 at 20 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 2318.45 / 2285.31 − 1 = +1.45%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.45% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology