Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $68,381 at 19 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $72,411 at 20 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 72410.92 / 68381.11 − 1 = +5.89%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -5.89% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology