Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 19 Aug 2026, 17:52 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Nebraskangooner

@Nebraskangooner

Quoting · 19 Aug 2026, 14:11 UTC · context given to the AI

#Bitcoin Break above $66,500 resistance sends it back to $71k resistance area. https://t.co/sM2hwUn93T

#Bitcoin Looks like bullish scenario on daily chart is playing out. Just needs a strong daily close and no shenanigans. https://t.co/Uo8vbRbaRC https://t.co/hqu7zQtExs

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $68,168 at 19 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $72,715 at 20 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 72715.34 / 68168.3 − 1 = +6.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +6.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#Bitcoin”
Confidence: 86%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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