Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,091 at 19 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,343 at 20 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 2343.42 / 2090.64 − 1 = +12.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +12.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology